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ALD making a Selmer replica doesn't sound like anything special to anticipate and putting a price tag on it at that range is just a money grab. Just to have a Selmer name on the headstock. "It's a piece of history", they'll say. People are so vain and overly concerned with being nostalgic and fashionable.
There's a dozen top notch luthiers making their version of Selmers that are affordable and outstanding. Jerome Duffel's guitars are 5k if I'm not mistaken, absolute mastery. Barault makes Selmer replicas every day of his life and you can still buy his Studio model direct for 2500 euro, plus fees. Insane.
Those Barault listings on Reverb are price gouging hard. You can just email Jean and he's very responsive and will sell you a Brazilian Selmer replica for half the price of those listings, within build time. His prices are clear on his website.
If they're really going to ask for 15K, that's just silly. It makes zero sense.
When I lived in Scotland, I had friends in the whisky industry. One was the 5th or 6th generation in his family. It was considered general knowledge that the crazy old whiskies bottled in Lalique crystal etc that sell for 10s and 20 thousand euro+ were not really consumed by the conoisseurs who would be able to appreciate them but by Russian oligarchs or very wealthy Asian clients for prestige. But, they reasoned that it was the ability to sell those bottles to those folks at those high rates that were part of what kept their lesser expressions at a more reasonable price. So there is that for us plebian folks.
If there is one thing I remember learning from the Brady Bunch, it was caveat emptor, which pairs nicely with "a fool and his money are soon parted."
15k....brand new Martin's sell for that all day long. Different market and I don't want to repeat myself but gypsy guitars are CHEAP.
I wanted to make sure I wasn't crazy.
https://www.sweetwater.com/store/detail/CSD1445Guat--martin-custom-shop-dreadnought-alpine-spruce-guatemalan-rosewood-acoustic-guitar-natural?mrkgadid=&mrkgcl=28&mrkgen=&mrkgbflag=&mrkgcat=&acctid=21700000001645388&dskeywordid=92700080478108428&lid=92700080478108428&ds_s_kwgid=58700008746021296&ds_s_inventory_feed_id=97700000007215323&dsproductgroupid=2322984097833&product_id=CSD1445Guat&prodctry=US&prodlang=en&channel=online&storeid=&device=m&network=g&matchtype=&adpos=largenumber&locationid=9194747&creative=705548890956&targetid=pla-2322984097833&campaignid=21455990307&awsearchcpc=1&gclsrc=aw.ds&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=21455990307&gclid=Cj0KCQjw_JzABhC2ARIsAPe3ynoyaERjeLjH1l4DuR7wquDOgSXCdeNYHvJaBx7xNj--FZ8XYUA_e3gaAsyNEALw_wcB
The average dreadnought player is not spending 15k on a guitar, that's rare. The everyday 15k and up market are usually symphonic musicians, violins and such. Dreadnoughts are 1-5k for working class players, just like gypsy guitars. My bandmate plays a Martin that's 1k used and it sings. A used Collings or Bourgeois is 3-4k and is more guitar than you'd ever need. Dreadnoughts are as cheap as gypsy guitars, unless you're buying a Froggy Bottom guitar, or a Hahl or something. No man needs a 15k Martin, total waste of money, just like the ALD Selmer.
Well, that $16k Martin has a "genuine mahogany neck," so no wonder.
I went to the Glenfiddich distillery once where they had a £20K bottle on display in the shop. When I went up to the counter to buy something I said to the sales assistant 'I bet you don't sell too many of those' and she said 'you'd be surprised, there was an American in this morning and he bought 3.'